Solar Rollout by Province Near Megacity - Hit All 9 Hotspots & Leverage International Expertise


Prioritized Solar Rollout by Province → Nearby Megacity

Focusing first on provinces whose solar “hotspots” lie closest to Iran’s largest population centers will minimize grid extension costs and speed deployment.

Priority 1 (0–2 years): Immediate City-Link Projects

  1. Semnan Province → Tehran

    • Hotspot: southern Semnan (edge of Dasht-e Kavir)
    • Distance to Tehran: ~200 km
    • Near-term target: 5 GW
    • Footprint: 25 km² (@ 5 MW/km²)
    • Expected generation: ~8 TWh/yr

  2. Razavi Khorasan Province → Mashhad

    • Hotspot: western Dasht-e Kavir within Razavi
    • Distance to Mashhad: on-site (within province)
    • Near-term target: 5 GW
    • Footprint: 25 km²
    • Expected generation: ~8 TWh/yr

  3. Yazd Province → Isfahan

    • Hotspot: Eastern Yazd & Yazd Highlands
    • Distance to Isfahan: ~130 km
    • Near-term target: 5 GW
    • Footprint: 25 km²
    • Expected generation: ~8 TWh/yr

Priority 2 (2–5 years): Regional Scale-Up

  1. Kerman Province → Kerman / Shahrekord

    • Hotspots: Shahdad & Northern Plains
    • Mid-term target: +10 GW
    • Footprint: 50 km²
    • Feeds regional load and national grid

  2. South Khorasan Province → Birjand / Zahedan

    • Hotspots: Ferdows & Tabas areas
    • Mid-term target: +7 GW
    • Footprint: 35 km²

Priority 3 (5–10 years): Strategic, Remote Build-Out

  1. Sistan & Baluchestan Province → National Grid
    • Hotspot: Northern Sistan (Zabol/Hirmand)
    • Long-term target: 15 GW
    • Footprint: 75 km²
    • Exports power to southern and eastern grid nodes

Summary of Proposed Phases

Phase Provinces New Capacity Land Take Key City Supplied
Immediate (0–2 y) Semnan, Razavi, Yazd 15 GW 75 km² Tehran, Mashhad, Isfahan
Regional (2–5 y) Kerman, South Khorasan 17 GW 85 km² Kerman, Birjand/Zahedan
Strategic (5–10 y) Sistan & Baluchestan 15 GW 75 km² National grid feeders
Total Build-Out All six provinces 47 GW 235 km²

Note: All footprints assume 5 MW per km² spacing. Generation estimates use a 20% capacity factor. Adjustments may be needed for siting, land-use, and grid constraints.

 

 

 

 

Simultaneous 9-Hotspot Solar Roll-Out

A visual, at-a-glance overview of why and how we build 34 GW across 9 top sites in 5–7 years

1. Key Project Metrics

Metric Value
Total Capacity 34 GW
Total Land Footprint 34 km² (5 MW/km²)
Estimated CAPEX ~$24 billion
Construction Effort 340 000 job-years
O&M Jobs (permanent) 10 200
Expected Duration 5–7 years

2. “Why Simultaneous” vs. “How We Do It”

Why Simultaneous? How It’s Done
1. Tap Best Resources Now • Break each site into 100–300 MW modular blocks
2. Speed Relief to Grid • Parallel substations & transmission upgrades
3. Maximize Bulk Discounts • Centralized national procurement for 34 GW
4. Learn & Scale Fast • Standardized designs & workflows across sites
5. Create Regional Jobs • Local training centers & “Train-the-Trainer” model

3. Step-by-Step Deployment Flow

Step Action
1. Site Planning Map 9 hotspots → match to nearest city & grid nodes
2. Block Modularization Divide each hotspot into 100–300 MW repeatable “blocks”
3. Bulk Procurement Order panels/inverters for full 34 GW pipeline → leverage discounts
4. Workforce Training Launch provincial centers; “Train-the-Trainer” with international pros
5. Parallel Construction Simultaneously build blocks across all 9 sites
6. Grid Integration Build/upgrade substations & lines in tandem with construction
7. Commission & Scale-Up Energize each block as completed → ramp from MW to GW output

4. Visual Timeline (Years 0–7)

Phase Years 0–2 Years 2–4 Years 4–7
Planning & Permitting ✓ Hotspot approvals ✓ Finalize block plans
Procurement ✓ Initial orders ✓ Full-scale ordering ✓ Inventory delivery
Training ✓ Trainer programs ✓ Local center opening ✓ O&M staff ramp-up
Construction ✓ First blocks (3 GW) ✓ Mid-program surge ✓ Last blocks (5 GW)
Grid Works ✓ Substations (3 sites) ✓ Transmission lines ✓ System tests & sync
Commissioning ✓ 5 GW online ✓ 20 GW cumulative ✓ 34 GW total live

Bottom-Line:
By modularizing into repeatable blocks, phasing investment, and running training & grid works in parallel, a simultaneous 9-hotspot build-out of 34 GW is not only practical but optimized for speed, cost-efficiency, and maximal impact across Iran’s major population centers.

 

 

 

Leveraging Expertise for Rapid Workforce Training

A major strength built into the overall plan is the intention to tap into international expertise to accelerate training. This is crucial for the ambitious timeline.

Here's how that expertise is leveraged:

  1. "Train the Trainer" Programs: Instead of training every single Iranian worker directly, international experts (from countries with extensive renewable energy experience like Germany, China, Denmark, Netherlands, etc.) train a core group of Iranian instructors and site supervisors. * Benefit: This quickly builds a local capacity to train others, multiplying the impact of the international experts.

  2. Standardized Curriculum Development: With expert help, develop standardized, efficient training modules and safety protocols specifically for solar and wind installation, maintenance, and grid connection relevant to Iran's conditions. * Benefit: Ensures consistent quality and speed of training across multiple locations.

  3. On-the-Job Training: International EPC (Engineering, Procurement, and Construction) contractors and equipment suppliers working on the initial large-scale projects incorporate hands-on training for Iranian workers as part of their contracts. * Benefit: Workers learn by doing on actual projects from experienced professionals.

  4. Vocational School Partnerships: Establish or enhance partnerships with Iranian technical and vocational schools, providing them with updated curriculum, equipment, and instructor training from international partners. * Benefit: Creates a sustainable pipeline of skilled workers for the long term.

  5. Specialized Offshore Wind Expertise: For the offshore wind component, specialized training teams (likely from Denmark or the Netherlands as discussed) provide targeted training in offshore construction, safety, and maintenance which requires unique skills. * Benefit: Addresses the specific demands of this complex technology.

In short: Access to international expertise doesn't just mean having foreign workers build the farms. It means strategically using that expertise to rapidly equip the Iranian workforce with the skills needed to build, operate, and maintain a massive renewable energy industry themselves. This was a smart move in the plan designed to overcome a potential bottleneck.

 

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