Iran Wind-Park Potential for 4 Months Wind and within greater Sistan & Baluchestan Province

 

 Wind-Park Potential for Sistan & Baluchestan Province

Key Assumptions

• Province area: 181,800 km²
• High-wind zones (4-month “120-day winds”):
  • Core basin: ~2,000 km²
  • Extended corridor: ~5,000 km²
• Turbine density: 3–5 MW per km²

---

Capacity Scenarios

1. Core Basin Only (2,000 km²)

   • Low density (3 MW/km²): 6 GW
   • High density (5 MW/km²): 10 GW

2. Extended Corridor (5,000 km²)

   • Low density: 15 GW
   • High density: 25 GW

3. Province-Wide (10% land take ≈18,000 km²)

   • Low density: 54 GW
   • High density: 90 GW

---

Realistic Near-Term Target

• 10–20 GW built over the next 5–10 years
  • 10 GW ≈ 3,300 ha (33 km²) at 3 MW/km²
  • 20 GW ≈ 6,700 ha (67 km²) at 3 MW/km²

---

Summary of Total Potential

• Theoretical Maximum: up to 90 GW (if 10% of the province’s area is developed)
• Practical Long-Term: 25 GW in core + corridors
• Practical Short-Term (5–10 yrs): 10–20 GW

---

Note: Actual deployment will depend on land-use constraints, environmental approvals, grid capacity, and investment priorities.